Forecasting & calibration
Question design, probability elicitation, aggregation, scoring and post-resolution analysis for teams that need to make uncertainty explicit.
Services
We favour small, written, measurable engagements over long discovery processes.
Question design, probability elicitation, aggregation, scoring and post-resolution analysis for teams that need to make uncertainty explicit.
Design tests that compare model outputs, human judgement and mixed workflows against clear criteria and resolved outcomes.
Map the current process, identify where information or accountability is lost, and build a bounded pilot that can be inspected and measured.
Improve how candidates, opportunities, leads or actions are ranked when the current rules discard useful context.
Send the decision or workflow you want to improve, the evidence you already have, the relevant deadline and what success would change.
Send a brief